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Whatever happens at the May 21 federal election, a leader will make history. ... Labor starts the race with 68 seats but notionally holds 69 if the seat of Hawke is considered a win. The ALP potentially stands to lose the NSW seat of Gilmore and Lyons in Tasmania with the Liberals also unseating ex-member Craig Kelly in Hughes. The Coalition is hoping former state MP Andrew Constance can win Gilmore for the Liberal party, but Labor, which holds the seat on a 2.6% margin, believes there may be. United Australia Party leader Craig Kelly has been unable to retain his Sydney seat of Hughes, dashing his hopes of becoming Prime Minister. Jenny Ware has.